CMP: Rs12
Target Price: Rs17
- Lanco has reported a consolidated loss of Rs2.6bn – mainly due to (1) Amarkantak reporting marginal loss vs. Rs1.7bn profit qoq and (2) Rs2.8bn forex loss (griffin, EPC and power).
- Adjusted consolidated loss, after adjusting for (1) forex losses of Rs2.8bn and (2) exceptional gain of Rs489mn, stood at Rs205mn vs. expectations of profit of Rs883mn – significantly below mainly due to Amarkantak loss
- Further delay in Udupi and Anpara COD (4Q12-1Q13). Cut earnings by 70/31% in FY12E/13E - driven by delays, higher fuel cost and Amarkantak lower tariffs
- Issues persist - (1) fuel, (2) Udupi and Anpara delays, (3) perdaman case, (4) inv. planned in solar despite stretched BS, (5) gas plants merchant & (6) int. rates; maintain hold.