Investment Rationale:
- Medium term growth prospects look positive for Indian VAS industry
- Mass appealing VAS products with diversified portfolio has made OMGL a leading MVAS provider
- Investments in emerging markets propelling international business
- Higher adj. EPS going forward is backed by available growth opportunities and increase in EBITDA margins
Valuation:
With higher penetration levels in LatAm and Africa and expected revival on the domestic front we estimate a 3-year revenue and adj. EPS CAGR of 16.2% and 16.3% respectively. Further, divestment of remaining stake in Verse Innovation Pvt. Ltd. is likely to garner a pre-tax profit of INR 700mn during FY12. Coming to stock performance, OMGL had underperformed the whole market and lost over 50% of its share price in the last one year. At CMP of INR 72.4, the share is currently trading at 15x 12-month historical PE (adj. EPS) as against a one-year median PE of 18x. Based on this data, we value OMGL stock at 14.4x (a 20% discount to median PE) our estimated FY13 EPS of INR 6.5, thus giving a target price of INR 93.6 and an upside potential of 29.3% in the next 12-18 months. Thus we recommend our investors to BUY OMGL shares.
The OnMobile Global stock closed the day at Rs.72.25, up by Rs.0.90 or 1.26%. The stock hit an intraday high of Rs.73.40 and low of Rs.71.90.
The total traded quantity was 0.79 lakhs compared to 2 week average of 1.61 lakhs.