Rollover Analysis (September 25): Nifty starts October series with low OI amid high volatility

- Nifty rolls were near 71% vs. 3M average of 76%.
- Marketwide rolls were at 93% against the 3M average of 91%.
- Highest rollover was seen in Berger Paints, Marico, Colgate, Havells, Pidilite and Ambuja Cement.
- Rollover activity was relatively low in Indiabulls Housing Finance, Apollo Tyres, Godrej Properties, Amara Raja Batteries and PVR.

Among index stocks, JSW Steel, Sun Pharma and UltraTech Cement are seeing high rolls into the next series while Hindustan Unilever, Infosys and TCS are seeing relatively low rollover in October.

The open interest in the Nifty has declined sharply compared to the last couple of months at inception. The October series is starting with open interest close to 8.5 million against 11.5 million shares seen in the last series. Nifty October futures added almost 2.4 million shares during the settlement trade. However, the roll spread has not increased as much as expected and Nifty October futures closed at a premium of almost 25 points.

The Bank Nifty has also seen fresh OI addition in the October series. The new series OI is close to 1.6 million shares, which is relatively higher than the OI seen last month. The roll spread in bank index has remained under pressure suggesting short rollover of positions.

For details, click on the link below: https://www.icicidirect.com/mailimages/Rollover_Analysis.pdf

Source : Equity Bulls

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