Maintain BUY on Mastek - Changing orbit - HDFC Securities

Mr. Amit Chandra & Mr. Apurva Prasad, Institutional Research Analyst, HDFC Securities

Mastek delivered strong revenue and margin performance led by full quarter integration of Evosys. Mastek organic business was down 4.4% QoQ due to weakness in UK private (-6.5% QoQ, Retail+BFS) and US Retail portfolio offset by strong UK Govt. (+13.9% QoQ). The UK Govt. will continue to perform well given Mastek's strong relationship, integration of Evosys capabilities, and revival of UK Govt spending. The UK private sector is facing the dual impact of Brexit and Covid-19 and will remain under stress. US revenue is impacted by Retail slowdown and recovery will be protracted. EBIT Margin expanded 321bps YoY to 14.7% led by the integration of high margin Evosys business. Evosys has performed well (+10% QoQ), driven by higher cloud adoption (~72% of revenue from Cloud). Mastek and Evosys go-to-market strategy will open access to new clients and geographies. The company is changing orbit and successful execution/cross-sell can lead to re-rating. We have assumed Evosys revenue of USD 71/78mn for FY21/22E and ~18% EBIT margin. We increase our USD revenue estimate by 4.6/2.4% for FY21/22E due to better performance of Evosys and UK Govt. EPS gets elevated by 13/9% for FY21/22E. Our TP of Rs 630 is based on 9x June-22E EPS plus Rs 70/share for ~5% stake in Majesco US. The stock has rallied 123% in the last 3M and trades at a P/E of 9.4/8.6x FY21/22E, which is still at ~20% discount to 5Y average multiple. Maintain BUY.

1QFY21 highlights: Revenue stood at USD 50.9mn (vs. est. USD 48.5mn) led by higher Evosys revenue (USD 17.6mn vs. exp of USD 16.2mn). In CC terms revenue was up 12.1/46.1% QoQ/YoY. The order book stood at USD 101mn and the company has signed an additional deal of USD 5.5mn in the healthcare vertical. EBIT margin was down 28bps QoQ but was higher than estimate. Net cash stands at Rs 1.73bna and Mastek will receive USD 26.4mn, which will be used to retire debt.

Evosys has ~1500 employees with a rev/Emp of USD ~47K. Evosys main markets are Middle East and UK/EU, which contributes 45/30% to its revenue.

Shares of MASTEK LTD. was last trading in BSE at Rs.611.1 as compared to the previous close of Rs. 643.3. The total number of shares traded during the day was 48685 in over 3183 trades.

The stock hit an intraday high of Rs. 669.4 and intraday low of 591.7. The net turnover during the day was Rs. 30262374.

Source : Equity Bulls

Keywords