VA Tech (VAW) reported good set of numbers which exceeded our estimates on revenue front. EBITDA margin was in-line but forex loss resulted in slippage on the profit front. The company has reported tepid order wins in Q1FY19, thereby leading to further decline in order book.
- Order intake declined 25% y-o-y to Rs 5.3 bn. Order intake lagged the run-rate needed to meet the full year management guidance of Rs 53-57 bn.
- Order book at Rs 66.6 bn, down 10% on a y-o-y basis.
Valuation and Outlook
- In view of the long term growth potential in water and waste water treatment and reasonable valuations, we reiterate "BUY" with price target of Rs 476 (earlier Rs 550), valuing the stock at 13x FY20 earnings (earlier valued at 15xFY20E). We are according lower exit multiple to the stock in view of the 1) recent slippages in order intake guidance 2) deterioration in balance sheet metrics - increase in debt due to higher working capital engagement.
- We will consider according higher target multiple if 1) upturn in order inflows and 2) receipt of retention money from APGENCO.
Shares of VA TECH WABAG LTD. was last trading in BSE at Rs.387.55 as compared to the previous close of Rs. 390.65. The total number of shares traded during the day was 15788 in over 713 trades.
The stock hit an intraday high of Rs. 398 and intraday low of 383.3. The net turnover during the day was Rs. 6149408.