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Q3FY21 Result Update - UltraTech Cement - ICICI Direct

Posted On: 2021-01-27 09:00:23 (Time Zone: Arizona, USA)

Cement demand remained buoyant in Q3FY21 also with east region operating almost at 100% capacity utilisation. Rest all other regions barring south operated at over 80% leading to average capacity utilisation of 80% for the company in Q3. Better asset utilisations and use of low cost fuel inventory kept cost of production down 5% YoY on a per tonne basis that helped the company to achieve better margins. The full impact of higher petcoke prices would get reflected in numbers from Q1FY22 onwards. EBITDA/t for the quarter was at Rs. 1,290/t (vs. I-direct estimate of Rs. 1,155/t). PAT growth of 141% YoY to Rs. 1,550 crore is mainly attributable to improved sales volumes along with reduced costs. On the M&A front, the 14.6 MT cement plants acquired during the previous financial year have been well integrated and operating with capacity utilisations of over 80%. On the leverage front, the company has successfully reduced its net debt/EBITDA ratio to 0.73x from 1.74x last year and 1.1x last quarter. On the recent announcement of entering into paint business by promoter Grasim Industries, the company has clarified it will continue to focus on the cement business only. However, there could be a possibility of cross selling opportunities depending upon the situation.

Valuation & Outlook

UltraTech has showed its capability to successfully integrate the acquired assets and protect its B/S in tough time as well. Given the positive outlook, the newly announced capex targeting central and east region would address the issue of capacity constraint post FY24E. With a target to become net debt free by FY23E and 23% earnings CAGR in FY20-23E, we believe, Ultratech will remain a preferred play in the cement space. We maintain BUY rating with a revised TP of Rs. 6300/share (i.e. 13.5x FY23E EV/EBITDA).

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Shares of ULTRATECH CEMENT LTD. was last trading in BSE at Rs.5406 as compared to the previous close of Rs. 5363.25. The total number of shares traded during the day was 27809 in over 5333 trades.

The stock hit an intraday high of Rs. 5517.9 and intraday low of 5331.35. The net turnover during the day was Rs. 151300512.

Source: Equity Bulls

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