(CMP Rs. 9401, TP Rs. 11056)
DIXON Technologies (DIXON), India's largest EMS player is currently in a sweet spot given a confluence of rising demand, import substitution and favorable regulatory support at the same time. The company is preparing for aggressive scale-up across product segments by investing in increasing management bandwidth, adding export markets as a key growth engine and continuously increasing the value addition in products like lighting, washing machines and now televisions. Fungible capacities, backward integration, focus on ODM solutions vs OEM and continued addition of MNC clients have been key growth enablers behind driving a 30% revenue and 56% PAT growth over FY15-20. Further, an asset-light balance sheet, low WC cycle, disciplined capital investments with 18 months payback make it an attractive and scalable business. After establishing a dominant presence in lighting, company is eyeing a similar positioning in TVs, WMs and mobiles. High asset turns and low capex requirement should take ROCE above 40% despite an expected revenue and PAT CAGR of 35%/39% over FY20-25E. Given the sharp run-up, further upside is dependent on the company getting one or two mobile PLI licenses, which can be transformational. We initiate coverage with BUY with a PT of Rs 11,056 based on 32x FY23E earnings (factoring in one PLI license), which would increase to Rs 13,763 in case the company gets both.
Shares of Dixon Technologies (India) Ltd was last trading in BSE at Rs.8826.35 as compared to the previous close of Rs. 9398. The total number of shares traded during the day was 4787 in over 1802 trades.
The stock hit an intraday high of Rs. 9689.1 and intraday low of 8506. The net turnover during the day was Rs. 43472039.